Bottom Line:

There has been little change in the forecast since Thursday morning. Forecast rainfall has again trended down slightly, further lessening any flooding potential.

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday afternoon and evening, mainly west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers. There is a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms in our westernmost counties (Walton, Geneva, Coffee). The risk tapers off to a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) east of there, as far as the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers.

Dense fog is likely at times through Saturday.

Overview:

On Saturday afternoon, a broken line of thunderstorms is expected to move east into our westernmost counties (Walton, Geneva, and Coffee Counties). At that point, the line could contain isolated damaging wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado.

As the line continues east, it will start to weaken and could very well fall apart once it moves east of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers on Saturday evening.

Additional rainfall of 0.5 to 1.5 inches is forecast from now through Saturday night, mainly west of a Panama City-to-Albany line. This should not cause flooding beyond short-duration localized runoff issues.

Dense fog is likely at times through Saturday. Fog over the Big Bend region early this morning will shrink and retreat back to the coast by this afternoon, then spread inland again this evening. A Marine Dense Fog Advisory is in effect over the Gulf waters east of Apalachicola.